Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.007270 0.008527 0.010028 0.011979 0.014492 0.017677 0.022122
2025-04-06 0.005526 0.006976 0.008902 0.011738 0.015975 0.022382 0.033513
2025-04-13 0.004719 0.006259 0.008462 0.012015 0.017977 0.028445 0.050822
2025-04-20 0.004278 0.005909 0.008389 0.012718 0.020803 0.037262 0.081482
2025-04-27 0.003901 0.005563 0.008218 0.013167 0.023321 0.047064 0.128236
2025-05-04 0.003529 0.005155 0.007854 0.013151 0.024888 0.055877 0.190187
2025-05-11 0.003229 0.004814 0.007532 0.013120 0.026409 0.065895 0.288035
2025-05-18 0.002941 0.004455 0.007117 0.012793 0.027096 0.074144 0.415668
2025-05-25 0.002661 0.004076 0.006610 0.012159 0.026756 0.078736 0.550328
2025-06-01 0.002441 0.003780 0.006221 0.011705 0.026769 0.085026 0.771010
2025-06-08 0.002326 0.003657 0.006146 0.011953 0.028961 0.103807 1.537644
2025-06-15 0.002192 0.003487 0.005954 0.011880 0.030145 0.119749 2.998596
2025-06-22 0.002016 0.003236 0.005598 0.011413 0.030128 0.131305 6.020170
2025-06-29 0.001878 0.003048 0.005354 0.011195 0.031000 0.152101 20.900576
2025-07-06 0.001795 0.002955 0.005296 0.011454 0.033892 0.198503 1907.857988
2025-07-13 0.001748 0.002927 0.005373 0.012112 0.038993 0.293513 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001688 0.002865 0.005367 0.012533 0.043493 0.421481 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001607 0.002753 0.005228 0.012517 0.045887 0.546221 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001533 0.002648 0.005095 0.012489 0.048291 0.717015 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001450 0.002520 0.004891 0.012183 0.048903 0.859924 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001360 0.002369 0.004617 0.011589 0.047366 0.908281 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001285 0.002247 0.004403 0.011164 0.046750 1.012871 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001248 0.002203 0.004378 0.011396 0.050898 1.580110 NaN